Updated
Updated · Reuters · Oct 28
UK Markets Absorb Healey Budget as £15 Billion Fiscal Headroom Meets Expectations
Updated
Updated · Reuters · Oct 28

UK Markets Absorb Healey Budget as £15 Billion Fiscal Headroom Meets Expectations

3 articles · Updated · Reuters · Oct 28

Summary

  • Britain's 10-year gilt yield fell 2 basis points to about 5.32% after John Healey's first budget kept to borrowing rules and left little for investors to reprice.
  • £15 billion of fiscal headroom, down from £23.6 billion in March but in line with Reuters poll expectations, reassured markets that the government was preserving discipline despite higher nominal borrowing.
  • Bank shares outperformed after Healey raised the profit surcharge to 6% from 3%—less severe than feared—with Lloyds, Barclays and NatWest up 1.3% to 1.6%.
  • Sterling slipped 0.1% to $1.3295 and the FTSE 100 edged up 0.1%, while investors welcomed a budget designed to avoid a repeat of the 2022 Liz Truss bond-market turmoil.
  • Attention now shifts to next week's Bank of England meeting, where policymakers are expected to raise rates by a quarter point to 4% as inflation has climbed to 3.5%.

Insights

Why did a ‘boring’ UK budget lift gilts and bank shares but still leave the pound and domestic stocks under pressure?
Is John Healey’s £15 billion fiscal headroom a sign of discipline—or a warning that Britain has little room for the next shock?