Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Oct 29
Likud Tops Israeli Vote as Netanyahu Faces No Clear Path to 61-Seat Majority
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Oct 29

Likud Tops Israeli Vote as Netanyahu Faces No Clear Path to 61-Seat Majority

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Oct 29

Summary

  • Initial results showed Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud finishing ahead of every other party, even though neither his bloc nor the opposition appeared to have a clear route to a governing majority.
  • That stronger-than-expected showing came despite public anger over the Oct. 7, 2023 Hamas-led attack, fatigue with Netanyahu’s four years in office and resentment over ultra-Orthodox military exemptions.
  • Gadi Eisenkot’s opposition had entered Tuesday’s election leading in polls and aiming for an outright majority based only on predominantly Jewish parties, but the outcome left that strategy short.
  • Opposition leaders now face a choice between joining Netanyahu in a unity government that sidelines some extremist allies or trying to govern with support from predominantly Arab parties long treated as politically unacceptable.

Insights

Can Netanyahu turn a narrow election win into 61 seats, or is Israel heading for another paralyzing coalition deadlock?
Will the ultra-Orthodox draft crisis—not Gaza or Oct. 7—decide who forms Israel’s next government?
Could Arab parties become Israel’s kingmakers, and if so, which leader is willing to break the taboo first?