New York Times Details 2016-Driven Polling Changes for Midterm Coverage
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Oct 29
New York Times Details 2016-Driven Polling Changes for Midterm Coverage
3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Oct 29
Summary
Nearly 200 reader questions prompted the New York Times to explain how it is handling midterm polling, with concerns centered on whether surveys are again missing Trump-aligned voters.
After the 2016 polling failure, Times editor Ruth Igielnik said many pollsters changed their models to account for education, a factor that had become strongly tied to vote choice.
The review found 2016 polls were not built to correct for the split between college-educated voters backing Hillary Clinton and non-college voters supporting Donald Trump.
The Times said its Election Analytics, Politics, National and Standards teams answered broader questions on coverage decisions as polls show Democrats running strongly even in reliably red areas.