Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Oct 30
BOJ Holds Rate at 1.25%, Signals 2% Inflation Goal as Yen Gains
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Oct 30

BOJ Holds Rate at 1.25%, Signals 2% Inflation Goal as Yen Gains

3 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Oct 30

Summary

  • An 8-1 BOJ decision kept the benchmark rate at 1.25%, while saying underlying inflation is now generally consistent with its 2% target — a signal traders read as keeping a December hike in play.
  • The yen held broad gains after the statement, with strategists saying the inflation signal reinforced expectations that policy tightening is not over.
  • The BOJ also sped up balance-sheet normalization by raising annual ETF sales to about ¥860 billion, or roughly $5.5 billion.
  • Governor Kazuo Ueda’s press briefing around 3:30 p.m. local time is now the next test for how firmly the bank wants markets to price a year-end move.

Insights

What data could force the BOJ from a hawkish hold at 1.25% to another rate hike by December?
Why did one BOJ member push for a hike now if growth is weak but inflation is already above target?
Has Japan finally escaped deflation, or is the BOJ mistaking yen-driven inflation for a lasting wage-price cycle?