Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Nov 4
Scott Colom Leads Cindy Hyde-Smith by 43 Votes in Mississippi Senate Race
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Nov 4

Scott Colom Leads Cindy Hyde-Smith by 43 Votes in Mississippi Senate Race

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Nov 4

Summary

  • 462,821 votes put Democrat Scott Colom 43 ahead of Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi's latest reported Senate count, with Colom at 48.95% and Hyde-Smith at 48.94%.
  • 945,534 total votes have been reported, while independent Ty Pinkins holds 19,935 votes, or 2.11%, in a race where the top vote-getter wins outright.
  • The margin remains razor-thin after earlier returns also showed Colom narrowly ahead, underscoring how unusually competitive the Mississippi Senate contest has become.
  • A Colom win would end a Democratic Senate drought in Mississippi dating to 1989 and mark the state's first Black U.S. senator since 1875.

Insights

How will the five-day mail ballot window and affidavit curing process determine the final outcome of this historically tight race?
What statistical models can accurately predict the outcome of an election with a 50-vote margin and 50,000 outstanding ballots?