Updated
Updated · CNBC · Nov 5
U.S., China and Russia Discuss 3-Way Summit as Warnings Rise Over 2-Year Aggression Risk
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Nov 5

U.S., China and Russia Discuss 3-Way Summit as Warnings Rise Over 2-Year Aggression Risk

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Nov 5

Summary

  • Beijing said it is communicating with relevant parties about a possible Trump-Xi-Putin meeting at the APEC leaders' summit in Shenzhen later this month, though no agenda has been announced.
  • Robert Kagan of Brookings said China and Russia could turn more aggressive within the next 2 years if they judge Trump politically weakened after Democrats took both chambers of Congress.
  • Two-thirds of U.S. missile-defense interceptors may have been depleted since June 2025, CBO estimates show, while 3 U.S. aircraft carriers sent to the Middle East have thinned naval capacity available in Asia.
  • $11 billion in Taiwan arms approved in December was followed by Trump holding back a second roughly $14 billion package as a bargaining chip with China, adding to concern about deterrence.
  • The summit idea, reportedly floated by Putin in October around ending the Ukraine war, comes as U.S. officials have long warned Xi wants China's military ready for a possible Taiwan invasion by 2027.

Insights

Could depleted U.S. missile stocks and a missing Pacific aircraft carrier give adversaries the perfect window to strike before 2030?
Will prioritizing economic deals over immediate arms shipments to Taiwan embolden Beijing, or is it a masterstroke to prevent conflict?
As global tensions rise, can newly signed multibillion-dollar defense contracts rebuild America's arsenal fast enough to deter geopolitical threats?