Updated
Updated · Kiplinger's Personal Finance · Nov 5
BLS Set to Release October Jobs Report as Economists Forecast 59,000 New Jobs
Updated
Updated · Kiplinger's Personal Finance · Nov 5

BLS Set to Release October Jobs Report as Economists Forecast 59,000 New Jobs

3 articles · Updated · Kiplinger's Personal Finance · Nov 5

Summary

  • Friday’s 8:30 a.m. ET BLS report is expected to show 59,000 jobs added in October, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.2%.
  • That would mark only a modest rebound from September’s 29,000 gain, after July and August payrolls were revised down by a combined 60,000 jobs.
  • ADP’s October private-payroll estimate came in at 86,000, topping the 75,000 consensus and offering a somewhat firmer signal ahead of the official release.
  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh still described labor conditions as quite positive, citing historically low jobless-claims averages even after September’s weaker-than-expected report.
  • Wall Street forecasts remain split—from about 50,000 to 95,000 jobs—with several economists arguing sub-100,000 monthly gains may now be the labor market’s new normal.

Insights

With job growth slowing dramatically, could the Fed's intense focus on sticky inflation trigger an unexpected economic downturn?
Why are job-changers seeing their fastest wage growth in years even as overall corporate hiring momentum rapidly cools down?
If professional services keep shedding jobs, how long can consumer spending survive solely on gains from the hospitality and healthcare sectors?