Updated
Updated · CBS New York · Nov 6
Economists Warn $800 Billion U.S. AI Buildout Could Slow as Data Center Opposition Grows
Updated
Updated · CBS New York · Nov 6

Economists Warn $800 Billion U.S. AI Buildout Could Slow as Data Center Opposition Grows

3 articles · Updated · CBS New York · Nov 6

Summary

  • $800 billion in 2026 hyperscaler spending on data centers and AI infrastructure could face delays and higher costs after Democrats' midterm wins strengthened political opposition to new projects.
  • Federal Reserve researchers estimated AI-related spending accounted for about 20% of U.S. GDP over the past year, making any slowdown in construction a broader growth risk.
  • Capital Economics said AI investment added roughly 0.3 percentage points to GDP growth in 2025 and should do so again this year, but a 10% annual drop from current levels in 2028 would shave about 0.1% off growth.
  • Stocks and consumer spending could amplify the hit: with the S&P 500 up nearly 100% in three years, economists say a 20% market drop tied to weaker AI momentum could turn a 0.5% growth boost into a 0.5% drag.
  • Analysts still do not expect the buildout to stop outright, since permitted and ongoing projects should continue, but they increasingly doubt AI profits will justify trillion-dollar capital spending into the early 2030s.

Insights

If stalled data centers derail the AI boom, how violently will the stock market react?
Will the trillion-dollar AI infrastructure gamble collapse before tech giants can deliver actual profits?
Could the physical limits of local power grids ultimately trigger the next major economic recession?