AP Poll Shows Under-30 Voters Back Democrats 7-3, Reversing Trump’s 2024 Gains
Updated
Updated · The Associated Press · Nov 5
AP Poll Shows Under-30 Voters Back Democrats 7-3, Reversing Trump’s 2024 Gains
3 articles · Updated · The Associated Press · Nov 5
Summary
More than 100,000 voters in the AP Voter Poll showed Democrats regained ground across young, Hispanic, Black, moderate and lower-income groups in the 2026 midterms after Trump’s 2024 gains with those blocs.
About 7 in 10 voters under 30 backed the Democratic House candidate, up from a roughly even Trump-Harris split in 2024; 6 in 10 said their House vote was meant to express opposition to Trump.
Hispanic voters moved back toward Democrats, with roughly 6 in 10 supporting the Democratic House candidate nationally and a similar share backing James Talarico in Texas, where Democrats flipped a Senate seat.
Black voters also shifted left again—about 9 in 10 backed Democratic House candidates, while support among Black men for Republicans fell to about 1 in 10 from roughly one-quarter for Trump in 2024.
Roughly two-thirds of moderates and more than half of voters earning under $50,000 backed Democrats, as many cited weak congressional checks on the presidency and inflation hardship.