Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Nov 11
Trump Eyes Nov. 18 Europe Security Deal With Russia as Ukraine Fears Territorial Sellout
Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Nov 11

Trump Eyes Nov. 18 Europe Security Deal With Russia as Ukraine Fears Territorial Sellout

3 articles · Updated · The Guardian · Nov 11

Summary

  • Abu Dhabi talks this week have fueled fears that Donald Trump is pursuing a broader deal with Moscow that could fix Europe’s security order without Kyiv or most European leaders at the table.
  • Nov. 18-19 in Shenzhen is emerging as the next key moment: Trump has accepted the principle of meeting Vladimir Putin, with a possible three-way session also involving Xi Jinping before a new Democratic-controlled Congress takes office in January.
  • Any bargain could leave Russia with permanently occupied Ukrainian territory, ease sanctions and curb NATO’s eastward role, while Trump is already pressuring Kyiv by withholding satellite intelligence and missile interceptors.
  • Europe still holds leverage through hundreds of billions of dollars in frozen Russian assets, tougher sanctions on Russia’s shadow fleet and more Patriot interceptors, but internal divisions are blunting that response.

Insights

Could a secret deal in Abu Dhabi redraw Europe's borders and permanently fracture the Western alliance without Kyiv's consent?
As winter approaches and drones go dark, will Europe unlock billions in frozen Russian assets before Ukraine's defenses collapse?
If Washington and Moscow bypass Europe to freeze the war, how will NATO protect its vulnerable eastern flank from future aggression?