Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Nov 12
US Existing-Home Sales Fall to 3.75 Million as 30-Year Mortgage Rates Stay Above 7%
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Nov 12

US Existing-Home Sales Fall to 3.75 Million as 30-Year Mortgage Rates Stay Above 7%

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Nov 12

Summary

  • 3.75 million existing-home sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate marked the slowest pace since August 2010 after October sales fell 8.8% from a year earlier and 5.5% from September.
  • 7.11% average 30-year mortgage rates, down from 7.18% a week earlier but up from 6.24% a year ago, have kept affordability strained and buyers sidelined.
  • Rising prices, faster inflation and weaker real wage growth are squeezing would-be buyers, while owners locked into sub-3% loans remain reluctant to sell, prolonging market gridlock.
  • October consumer prices rose 0.4% after 0.6% in September, lifting expectations of a December Fed rate increase as the 10-year Treasury yield moved above 5% and threatened further pressure on mortgages.
  • Economists say sales are likely to stay weak for the next few months, with 2026 shaping up as one of the weakest years for home sales in more than a decade.

Insights

Could the seven percent mortgage rate become the permanent new normal, permanently locking an entire generation out of homeownership?
Will the upcoming release of millions of senior-owned homes finally crash the market, or just create a new affordability crisis?
If housing supply is already above pre-pandemic levels in many states, why are everyday Americans still entirely priced out of buying?