Updated
Updated · CNBC · Nov 12
Trump Jr. Exits Kalshi Advisory Role After 1789 Capital Backs Rival Polymarket
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Nov 12

Trump Jr. Exits Kalshi Advisory Role After 1789 Capital Backs Rival Polymarket

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Nov 12

Summary

  • Kalshi ended Donald Trump Jr.'s advisory contract after his venture firm, 1789 Capital, took a stake in rival prediction market Polymarket, a move both sides deemed a conflict of interest.
  • August talks on his exit began soon after 1789 Capital announced the Polymarket investment, and Trump Jr. remains an advisor to Polymarket.
  • Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour had already called Trump Jr.'s role an "optics issue" in early October, while saying the company never relied on him for government influence.
  • The departure lands as Democrats control both chambers of Congress and are expected to scrutinize prediction markets more aggressively, potentially making Trump family ties to the sector a political target.

Insights

Why did a major prediction market abruptly cut ties with its high-profile adviser amid a $21 billion rivalry?
How will Kalshi's regulatory gamble pay off against a rival platform generating over $1 billion in revenue?
Will an impending Supreme Court showdown over state gambling laws crush the booming prediction market industry?