Tom Brady Ranks 10 Midseason Super Bowl Contenders, Putting 7-1 Bills First

Q: How often do Tom Brady's mid-season Super Bowl predictions actually align with the champions crowned at the end of the year?

There is no reliable public track record yet showing that Tom Brady’s midseason Super Bowl picks consistently match the eventual champion. The material here details Brady’s current Week 9 tiers and some of his earlier 2026 power-ranking reactions, but it does not provide a season-by-season history of his midpoint predictions against actual Super Bowl winners. Without that record, any claim about how often he has been right would be speculative. What can be said is more limited: Brady’s current top tier includes the Bills, 49ers, Chiefs, Bengals, Packers and Rams, with Buffalo as his leading pick and San Francisco as his NFC favorite. That puts him broadly in line with the type of teams analysts usually identify at midseason — established contenders with elite quarterback play, strong efficiency metrics or both. Kansas City and San Francisco, in particular, have been common championship forecasts in recent years. But alignment with eventual champions is a much tougher standard than identifying contenders. NFL title races often swing on late injuries, playoff matchups and quarterback form, so even strong midseason forecasts can miss. Based on the information available here, the fairest answer is that Brady’s current rankings look credible, but there is not enough documented evidence in the supplied reporting to quantify how often his midseason Super Bowl predictions have actually proven correct.

3 articles · Updated · Fox News · Nov 13

At the Week 9 midpoint, Tom Brady’s top tier starts with Buffalo at 7-1, ahead of fellow legitimate contenders San Francisco, Kansas City, Cincinnati, Green Bay and the Rams.
Buffalo gets the No. 1 spot because it leads the NFL at 32 points per game, holds the AFC’s top seed and faces four remaining games against the Jets and Dolphins.
San Francisco remains Brady’s NFC favorite at 7-1, with Brock Purdy completing 69% of his passes with 17 touchdowns and five interceptions despite injuries and the addition of Keenan Allen.
Chicago at 7-2, Jacksonville, Seattle and Detroit make Brady’s fringe-contender group, while Denver, Minnesota, New England and Pittsburgh are viewed as playoff-caliber but short of true title level.
The ranking argues the field is far smaller than 32 teams—Brady says it may not even be 10—with several clubs already effectively reduced to draft-watch status by midseason.