Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Nov 13
SportsLine Model Backs Wake Forest, Ole Miss to Cover in Week 11 After 10,000 Simulations
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Nov 13

SportsLine Model Backs Wake Forest, Ole Miss to Cover in Week 11 After 10,000 Simulations

3 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · Nov 13

Summary

  • Wake Forest +1 is the model’s top Week 11 spread play, covering SMU in more than 60% of 10,000 simulations after the Demon Deacons went 7-2 ATS and won five straight by 20-plus points.
  • SMU has allowed 28 points in back-to-back games against ACC teams without winning league records, a weakness the model sees Wake Forest exploiting in Saturday’s noon ET matchup.
  • Ole Miss -1.5 is another recommended cover, with the Rebels projected to beat Oklahoma well over 50% of the time and the Over 49.5 landing in 60% of simulations.
  • Oklahoma enters off a win over Florida but is 4-9-1 ATS after victories since last season, while its offense ranks last in the SEC in rushing, second-worst in total offense and leads the league in turnovers.
  • The Week 11 slate also features first-time conference meetings shaped by realignment, including Texas at LSU in the SEC and USC at Indiana in the Big Ten.

Insights

Which three mystery power-conference underdogs did the computer model project to win outright in Week 11?
How might Arch Manning's recent surge disrupt the model's projection of LSU as a home favorite against Texas?
Can a computer simulation accurately predict the emotional volatility of historic first-time conference clashes like USC versus Indiana?