Updated
Updated · WCTV · Jul 18
NHC Tracks Gulf Disturbance for 1-3 Inches of Rain as Weekend Tropical Odds Rise
Updated
Updated · WCTV · Jul 18

NHC Tracks Gulf Disturbance for 1-3 Inches of Rain as Weekend Tropical Odds Rise

3 articles · Updated · WCTV · Jul 18

Summary

  • 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected across Florida's Big Bend and South Georgia this weekend as the National Hurricane Center watches a Gulf low for possible tropical organization.
  • Very warm Gulf waters and limited wind shear could help the system become a surface low or weak tropical system, though forecasters say it still lacks a well-defined low-level circulation.
  • Gusty thunderstorms may bring heavy downpours and knock down branches or limbs, but forecasters do not expect storm surge, tropical-storm-force winds or meaningful tornado risk.
  • Development chances were recently raised to 30% over seven days, yet the system is still expected to remain weak and keep rain chances elevated into early next week.

Insights

As El Niño quiets the Atlantic, are super-heated coastal waters spawning a new breed of dangerous 'homegrown' hurricanes?
Are seasonal hurricane forecasts becoming obsolete as local ocean heat waves create unpredictable threats just offshore?