Polymarket Launches 12-Fellow Research Institute to Study Prediction Markets

3 articles · Updated · Fortune · Jul 29

Polymarket on Wednesday unveiled the Polymarket Institute, a company-funded research arm that will back independent academic work on how prediction markets forecast and aggregate information.
12 doctoral fellows in the first one-year cohort will each receive a $10,000 grant, with applications opening Aug. 18 and research focused on market design, forecasting, risk and links to AI, policy and crypto.
Brian Jabarian of Carnegie Mellon will serve as scientific director without personal compensation, while fellows are barred from trading on Polymarket-like platforms and must publish code and methods alongside their findings.
The institute arrives as prediction markets gain traction beyond crypto circles: Polymarket averaged 586,000 monthly active users in July, and outlets including The Wall Street Journal and Yahoo Finance now feature its odds.

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8 Sources

With rivals building pro terminals and Polymarket funding academia, are prediction platforms quietly evolving into the new standard for global financial data?

If only 3% of traders drive prediction market accuracy, is the wisdom of the crowd just an illusion funded by retail losses?

Can a company-funded institute remain truly independent, or is this a strategic move to legitimize offshore crypto trading against strict regulators?