Updated
Updated · investinglive.com · Aug 1
Dollar Climbs as Q2 Employment Costs Rise 0.9% and 10-Year Yield Hits 4.730%
Updated
Updated · investinglive.com · Aug 1

Dollar Climbs as Q2 Employment Costs Rise 0.9% and 10-Year Yield Hits 4.730%

3 articles · Updated · investinglive.com · Aug 1

Summary

  • U.S. employment costs rose 0.9% in the second quarter for a second straight quarter, lifting the dollar and pushing Treasury yields to fresh session highs.
  • The data showed wages and benefits both advancing, reinforcing concern that labor-cost pressure could keep inflation sticky even as higher pay supports consumer spending.
  • Treasury yields climbed across the curve, with the 2-year at 4.303%, the 10-year at 4.730% and the 30-year at 5.260%, each up roughly 5.5 to 7.8 basis points.
  • The stronger dollar knocked EUR/USD toward 1.1471-1.1482 support, sent GBP/USD to a new low near its 100- and 200-day averages, and pushed USD/CHF toward 0.8119.
  • The move adds to a broader July rise in global bond yields and came before later Fed-related inflation doubts drove Treasury yields even higher.

Insights

As growth slows and inflation stays sticky, is the Federal Reserve risking a recession by keeping borrowing costs this high?
Will the unstoppable AI investment boom and Middle East oil shocks force the Fed to abandon its rate cut dreams?
Could escalating attacks in the Strait of Hormuz trigger a new inflation crisis that renders current monetary policy completely powerless?