Yordan Alvarez Tops August 2 HR Picks at +238 as Burleson and Caminero Also Draw Backing
Updated
Updated · Covers · Aug 2
Yordan Alvarez Tops August 2 HR Picks at +238 as Burleson and Caminero Also Draw Backing
3 articles · Updated · Covers · Aug 2
Summary
Yordan Alvarez leads August 2 home run picks at +238, with analysts citing his 43.75% homer rate in 16 elite-rated games this season against Texas starter Kumar Rocker.
Alvarez also matches up well on the underlying data: he covers 100% of Rocker’s pitch mix, while lefties against Rocker have posted a .376 xBA and .657 xSLG over the last 60 batters faced.
Alec Burleson is the next featured play at +358, backed by a .370 average and 50% hard-hit rate in his last 60 at-bats versus righties against Max Scherzer, who has struggled with left-handed hitters.
Junior Caminero rounds out the card at +325 after posting a 1.013 OPS and 40% HR/FB rate in his last 60 at-bats against lefties; he faces Anthony Kay, who has allowed a 20% barrel rate to righties.
The three-player home run parlay pays +6287, framing the slate around matchup-driven prop betting rather than broader game outcomes.