Updated
Updated · The Motley Fool · Aug 13
Sandisk Drops 7% After Q4 Outlook Misses, Despite $94 Billion Supply Pipeline
Updated
Updated · The Motley Fool · Aug 13

Sandisk Drops 7% After Q4 Outlook Misses, Despite $94 Billion Supply Pipeline

3 articles · Updated · The Motley Fool · Aug 13

Summary

  • Sandisk shares fell almost 7% after its Aug. 5 fiscal Q4 report, with investors focusing on guidance that missed expectations even after strong results.
  • Investor caution has been driven by a broader memory-sector selloff, cyclical oversupply fears, rising Chinese competition and doubts about sustained AI infrastructure spending; the Roundhill Memory ETF is down 19% over the past month.
  • Fiscal 2026 revenue surged 175% to $20.2 billion and adjusted EPS jumped nearly 24-fold to $70.88, while current-quarter guidance calls for $10.3 billion-$10.8 billion in revenue and $45.00 in non-GAAP EPS.
  • Eight multi-year data-center supply agreements are set to cover more than half of NAND bit shipments in fiscal 2027 and two-thirds in fiscal 2028, with at least $94 billion in revenue locked in at floor prices.
  • Wall Street still expects fiscal 2027 revenue to rise 141% to nearly $49 billion and EPS to triple to $213.23, with the median 12-month price target implying 69% upside.

Insights

Can Sandisk's massive multi-year datacenter contracts truly protect its record profits from a looming memory crash?
Will aggressive Chinese expansion and AI spending fears permanently derail Sandisk's aggressive stock buyback strategy?