Brewers Open as -117 Favorites Over Dodgers as Misiorowski Carries 1.76 ERA Into Low-Scoring Pick
Updated
Updated · Covers · Aug 15
Brewers Open as -117 Favorites Over Dodgers as Misiorowski Carries 1.76 ERA Into Low-Scoring Pick
3 articles · Updated · Covers · Aug 15
Summary
Milwaukee entered Saturday night at Dodger Stadium as a slight road favorite, with the betting preview backing the Brewers moneyline up to -125 and the Under 7.5 up to -130.
Jacob Misiorowski drives that lean: the Brewers right-hander is 11-5 with a 1.76 ERA, a 1.93 xERA and 40.6% strikeout rate, and has allowed two runs or fewer in 14 of his last 16 starts.
Los Angeles has averaged just 3.62 runs over its last 13 games, while Milwaukee has scored only 3.0 per game over its last seven and is missing three starters.
That weak offensive backdrop is reinforced by the matchup with Dodgers lefty Justin Wrobleski, as the Brewers are batting .219 against left-handers this month with a 36.6% strikeout rate.
For prop bettors, the report singled out Jackson Chourio at +414 for a home run, citing his 17 homers in 89 games and strong production against left-handed pitching.