Updated
Updated · Sports Illustrated · Aug 16
Ohio State Commands 89% Odds to Hit AP No. 1 as Texas Trails at 46%
Updated
Updated · Sports Illustrated · Aug 16

Ohio State Commands 89% Odds to Hit AP No. 1 as Texas Trails at 46%

2 articles · Updated · Sports Illustrated · Aug 16

Summary

  • Kalshi’s college football market gives Ohio State an 89% chance to be ranked No. 1 in the AP Poll at some point this season, making it the only team above 50%.
  • Texas sits next at 46%, followed by Notre Dame at 44%, Oregon at 43% and Georgia at 31%, underscoring how far ahead the Buckeyes are in the market.
  • Ohio State’s edge reflects expectations around a loaded roster, with quarterback Julian Sayin coming off 3,610 yards and 32 touchdowns and receiver Jeremiah Smith posting 2,558 yards and 27 scores.
  • The Buckeyes also enter the AP preseason poll release Monday after landing No. 1 in the AFCA Coaches Poll, even after sending 11 players to the NFL and rebuilding through transfers.
  • Ohio State has reached the top spot 23 times historically and was ranked No. 1 in each of the last two seasons, reinforcing why traders expect another run.

Insights

Despite heavy NFL departures, why are prediction markets overwhelmingly betting on Ohio State to reach No. 1 this season?
Will Ohio State's rebuilt offensive line sabotage their 89% chance to dethrone defending champion Indiana for the top ranking?