Updated
Updated · Data For Progress · Aug 17
Peltola Leads Alaska Senate 53%-47% as Affordability Fears Deepen and Dunleavy's Rating Sinks
Updated
Updated · Data For Progress · Aug 17

Peltola Leads Alaska Senate 53%-47% as Affordability Fears Deepen and Dunleavy's Rating Sinks

3 articles · Updated · Data For Progress · Aug 17

Summary

  • A new Data for Progress poll puts Mary Peltola ahead of Sen. Dan Sullivan 53%-47% in a ranked-choice final round, while Rep. Nick Begich leads Bill Hill 47%-37% in the House race.
  • Economic strain dominates the electorate: 34% rank the economy and cost of living as their top voting issue, and worry over gas, utilities, groceries and healthcare all rose from October 2025.
  • Mike Dunleavy's standing has deteriorated to 37% favorable and 60% unfavorable, his worst reading in five Alaska surveys, after vetoing a string of measures that the poll says still draw broad bipartisan support.
  • Those include election reform backed by 86% of voters, caregiver wage increases at 79%, and a school mental-health curriculum at 64%, reinforcing a gap between the governor and public opinion.
  • On energy, 80% support the Alaska LNG project but only 24% trust developer Glenfarne, while 82% want all major oil and gas companies to pay state corporate income tax.

Insights

How might severe mail delays in remote Alaskan villages ultimately decide the outcome of this tight Senate race?
Could the unusual presence of two identical names on the ballot test the limits of ranked-choice voting?
With rural energy rates soaring, will hybrid wind-diesel microgrids become the ultimate deciding factor for voters?