Updated
Updated · CNN · Aug 19
Mary Peltola Leads Dan Sullivan 48.1%-42.7% in Alaska Senate Primary as 80% Counted
Updated
Updated · CNN · Aug 19

Mary Peltola Leads Dan Sullivan 48.1%-42.7% in Alaska Senate Primary as 80% Counted

3 articles · Updated · CNN · Aug 19

Summary

  • With about 80% of ballots counted, Democrat Mary Peltola led incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan 48.1% to 42.7% in Alaska’s all-party Senate primary, an unusually direct preview of their November matchup.
  • Advance ballots make up much of the vote still outstanding, and Peltola has run well on those ballots so far, leaving room for her margin to widen toward 50%.
  • Sullivan’s showing is weak for an incumbent: more than 57% of voters backed someone else, and Republican-listed candidates were drawing only about 45.7%, below GOP shares in the state’s House and governor primaries.
  • Turnout is projected near 160,000 votes—about 60% of Alaska’s 2022 midterm electorate—suggesting Tuesday’s electorate may resemble November more closely than the lighter 2024 primary did.
  • That matters nationally because Democrats likely need to win at least two Trump-by-double-digits states such as Alaska, Iowa, Ohio or Texas to capture a Senate majority.

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