Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 19
Investor Favors Active ETFs as Shiller P/E Hits 42.6 Near 1999 Peak
Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 19

Investor Favors Active ETFs as Shiller P/E Hits 42.6 Near 1999 Peak

1 articles · Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 19

Summary

  • Shiller P/E at 42.6 has pushed one investor to avoid broad S&P 500 buying now and prepare to add actively managed ETFs or select stocks in a downturn.
  • That stance rests on valuations near historic extremes: the S&P 500’s trailing P/E is 30, the highest since 2000, while the only higher Shiller reading was 44.2 in November 1999.
  • Past spikes in 1929, 1965, 1999 and 2021 were followed by corrections or bear markets, making stock selection more important even with indexes at fresh highs.
  • The investor argues a selloff would create better entry points, citing Microsoft’s rebound from $221 in 2022 to above $500 and Apple’s rise from about $137 to $305.

Insights

With the Shiller P/E nearing its 1999 dot-com peak, are we facing a historic market crash or a new AI-driven normal?
As Berkshire Hathaway hoards nearly $400 billion in cash, what severe warning signs is Warren Buffett seeing that everyday investors are ignoring?
Can the unprecedented productivity promises of AI justify record-high market valuations, or is this another dangerous tech bubble waiting to burst?