Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 19
Stephanie Link Buys Timken on $2.5 Trillion Robotics Bet and $8.50 EPS Target
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Aug 19

Stephanie Link Buys Timken on $2.5 Trillion Robotics Bet and $8.50 EPS Target

1 articles · Updated · CNBC · Aug 19

Summary

  • $8.7 billion Timken is a new addition to Stephanie Link’s portfolio, with the investor pitching the 125-year-old bearings maker as an overlooked beneficiary of AI-driven automation and robotics demand.
  • JPMorgan sees robotics revenue jumping from $100 billion in 2025 to $2.5 trillion by 2035, a backdrop that could lift demand for Timken’s bearings and motion-control components used in factory robots, warehouses, wind turbines and aircraft.
  • Lucian Boldea, who became CEO in September 2025 after leading Honeywell’s industrial automation business, is reshaping the company through a plan that includes selling the Belts unit and buying automated-lubrication maker Bijur Delimon.
  • Management is targeting about $8.50 in adjusted EPS by 2028 versus $5.33 in 2025, along with $5 billion to $5.2 billion in sales and EBITDA margins of 21% to 23%, up from 17.4%.
  • Even after a 30% gain this year, Link argues Timken remains inexpensive at roughly 15 times the 2028 earnings target, below the industrial sector’s current 27 times multiple.

Insights

Will Timken's bold gamble to ditch its legacy belts business for high-tech automation actually pay off by 2028?
Can a 125-year-old legacy bearing manufacturer truly ride the AI robotics wave to close its massive valuation gap?