Inside Elections Shifts 10 of 11 Race Ratings Toward Democrats as Iowa Drives 4 Changes
Updated
Updated · Roll Call · Aug 17
Inside Elections Shifts 10 of 11 Race Ratings Toward Democrats as Iowa Drives 4 Changes
3 articles · Updated · Roll Call · Aug 17
Summary
Eleven rating changes left 10 races moving toward Democrats and only one toward Republicans, underscoring a late-cycle softening for the GOP with under three months until Election Day.
Trump’s low approval rating is widening the map in red-leaning territory, and Iowa alone accounted for four shifts: governor to Tilt Democratic, Senate to Tilt Republican, the 3rd District to Toss-up and the 2nd to Lean Republican.
At the Senate battleground’s center, Georgia and North Carolina both moved from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic, while Texas tightened from Likely Republican to Lean Republican and Michigan remained the lone Toss-up.
House and governor changes reinforced the pattern: Ohio’s 7th moved to Toss-up amid allegations against Rep. Max Miller, Michigan’s 8th hardened to Solid Democratic, and Texas governor shifted from Solid to Likely Republican.
Kansas governor was the only move helping Republicans, shifting from Toss-up to Tilt Republican after Democrats’ preferred successor to Laura Kelly lost the primary.