Republicans Risk Losing 53-47 Senate Majority in 6 Toss-Up Races
Updated
Updated · Forbes · Aug 23
Republicans Risk Losing 53-47 Senate Majority in 6 Toss-Up Races
3 articles · Updated · Forbes · Aug 23
Summary
Five of the six Senate races rated toss-ups by Cook Political Report are now GOP-held seats, putting Republicans’ 53-47 majority at risk in November.
Iowa, Alaska, Ohio and Texas have all tightened around Republican seats, with Democrats leading primaries or recent polls in Alaska, Ohio and Maine, while Texas polls show Ken Paxton up just 1 point with 5% undecided.
Michigan is the lone Democratic-held toss-up, where Abdul El-Sayed emerged from a divisive primary and led Republican Mike Rogers by 7 points in an early-month survey.
Trump lost only one of the six states—Maine—but his 38% approval rating and voter fatigue over the Iran war and the economy threaten the president’s party in a cycle that often becomes a referendum on the White House.
Third-party candidates polling 1% to 4% in states including Alaska, Texas, Ohio and Iowa could still tip several of these close races and decide Senate control.