UBS Raises 2026 S&P 500 Target to 8,100 as Earnings Forecast Jumps to $400
Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 23
UBS Raises 2026 S&P 500 Target to 8,100 as Earnings Forecast Jumps to $400
3 articles · Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 23
Summary
UBS Global Wealth Management lifted its year-end 2026 S&P 500 target to 8,100 from 7,900 on Aug. 21, implying 5.5% upside from the index’s 7,674.37 close; it also raised its mid-2027 target to 8,400.
The upgrade rests on higher profit expectations, with UBS increasing its 2027 earnings forecast to $400 from $375, allowing a higher index target on a slightly lower valuation multiple of about 20.3 times earnings.
UBS cited three supports for the call: resilient U.S. growth, supportive monetary policy and continued AI adoption, with earnings breadth emerging as the key driver.
Nearly 80% of S&P 500 companies have beaten estimates versus a 73% historical average, UBS said, while median earnings surprises reached 5.8% and underlying Q2 earnings growth approached 35%.
The bullish reset comes after a volatile week in which stocks fell on higher Treasury yields, inflation worries and Iran tensions, even as the S&P 500 remains up 12.1% in 2026.