Updated
Updated · USA TODAY · Aug 24
Microsoft Copilot Hits 177-94-1 on NFL Picks as Google Gemini Misses 28 of 32 Team Records
Updated
Updated · USA TODAY · Aug 24

Microsoft Copilot Hits 177-94-1 on NFL Picks as Google Gemini Misses 28 of 32 Team Records

3 articles · Updated · USA TODAY · Aug 24

Summary

  • 177-94-1 in the regular season and 12-1 in the playoffs gave Microsoft's Copilot a strong 2025 NFL forecasting record, far outpacing Google's Gemini as the 2026 season nears.
  • Gemini correctly matched only 4 of 32 team records and picked just 1 division winner, with Buffalo, Cleveland, Philadelphia and San Francisco its only exact record hits.
  • Seattle was Gemini's biggest miss: it projected the Seahawks at 7-10 and last in the NFC West, but they finished 14-3 and won the Super Bowl.
  • Nine teams finished at least four games away from Gemini's preseason call, including the Chiefs by six wins and the Patriots, Broncos and Cardinals by five each.
  • The review suggests AI handled week-to-week picks better than preseason outlooks, underscoring the limits of long-range sports forecasting.

Insights

What hidden flaws in long-term AI forecasting did the Seahawks' shocking Super Bowl run expose?
Why did Google’s advanced AI completely collapse when trying to predict the NFL season?