Updated
Updated · WDSU New Orleans · Aug 29
NHC Tracks 2 Tropical Systems as Gulf Disturbance Holds 20% 7-Day Development Odds
Updated
Updated · WDSU New Orleans · Aug 29

NHC Tracks 2 Tropical Systems as Gulf Disturbance Holds 20% 7-Day Development Odds

3 articles · Updated · WDSU New Orleans · Aug 29

Summary

  • A weak low about 100 miles south-southwest of Pensacola is the nearer concern, with the National Hurricane Center giving it a 0% chance of development in 48 hours and 20% over seven days.
  • That Gulf disturbance is expected to move west slowly, but forecasters say it could still lift rain chances across southeast Louisiana and south Mississippi from Sunday into early next week, even without organizing.
  • Dolly’s remnants, several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands, carry a 0% two-day and 10% seven-day redevelopment chance as wind shear and dry air limit any close circulation.
  • Heavy rain and gusty winds are possible for the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several days, while any later approach toward Florida or the Gulf is only a longer-range risk.

Insights

Why might a weak, unnamed Gulf disturbance still pose a hidden danger to coastal residents and beachgoers?
Could a dying tropical storm be the unexpected savior for a severe Caribbean drought, or a trigger for devastating flash floods?
How is El Nino secretly pulling the strings behind the Atlantic's fizzling storms and extreme Caribbean water shortages?