Updated

Updated · ESPN · Aug 30

Alcaraz, Sabalenka Lead US Open Odds at +250 and +330 as Sinner Withdrawal Reshapes Market

Updated

Updated · ESPN · Aug 30

Alcaraz, Sabalenka Lead US Open Odds at +250 and +330 as Sinner Withdrawal Reshapes Market

Q: After a historic Washington Open victory, can rising star Alexandra Eala shock the world again and disrupt the wide-open women's field?

Yes — Alexandra Eala has a real chance to disrupt this US Open, even if calling her the favorite would still be a stretch. The case for Eala is stronger than a typical longshot story. Her odds have crashed from better than 100-1 two months ago to roughly 28-1 at some books, and as short as +1800 at others, after a breakthrough Washington Open title. That run was not soft: she beat Zheng Qinwen, Leylah Fernandez, Elina Svitolina, Naomi Osaka and Jessica Pegula, becoming the first Filipina to win a WTA 500 event. She is also projected around the Top 20, a sign this is no longer a fringe contender. Her form extends beyond one week. Eala has produced several major hard-court results, including a strong 2025 Miami run and a first WTA title on the same surface she says suits her best. Hard courts reward her early ball-striking and aggressive baseline game, and her serve has improved significantly over the last two seasons. She also owns multiple Top 10 wins this year, showing she can handle elite opponents. The wider field gives her an opening. Sabalenka remains the favorite, but she has looked vulnerable recently. Gauff, Swiatek, Pegula and others all have strong cases, yet none has fully separated from the pack in a season marked by parity and shifting form. What makes Eala dangerous is not just momentum, but proof. She has already shown she can beat top names on big stages. Winning seven matches in New York is still a massive ask, but another shock run is entirely plausible.

3 articles · Updated · ESPN · Aug 30

Carlos Alcaraz opened as the men's favorite at +250 and Aryna Sabalenka led the women's field at +330 in updated US Open betting as the 2026 tournament began.
Jannik Sinner's injury withdrawal and Alcaraz's return reshaped the men's market, with Alcaraz drifting from +140 after Sinner exited and French Open champion Alexander Zverev sitting second at +300.
12-1 shots Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar, plus Americans Ben Shelton at 13-1 and Learner Tien at 60-1, have drawn more bettor interest than Zverev, according to bookmakers.
American women are also attracting heavy action behind Sabalenka, with Coco Gauff at +450, Jessica Pegula at 10-1, Amanda Anisimova at 16-1 and Madison Keys at 50-1 seeing support.
Alexandra Eala has been one of the sharpest movers, shortening from above 100-1 two months ago to 28-1 after winning her first professional title at the 2026 Washington Open.