Updated
Updated · CNBC · Sep 1
Euro Zone Inflation Hits 3.3% as ECB Nears 25-Basis-Point Rate Hike
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Sep 1

Euro Zone Inflation Hits 3.3% as ECB Nears 25-Basis-Point Rate Hike

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Sep 1

Summary

  • Euro zone headline inflation rose to 3.3% in August from 2.9%, a Eurostat flash estimate showed, pushing price growth back above 3% for the first time since September 2024.
  • Energy inflation jumped to 14.3% from 10.3% as the Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz blockage lifted oil and refined-product costs and disrupted Europe's gas market.
  • Markets priced a 98.9% chance on Tuesday that the ECB will raise rates by 25 basis points to 2.5% at its Sept. 10 meeting, after a June increase to 2.25%.
  • Core inflation still eased to 2.4% from 2.5%, but policymakers risk treating the energy shock as temporary if it spills into wages and services prices.
  • Higher borrowing costs would add pressure on indebted households, housing markets and small businesses, with some SMEs likely to delay or scrap investment plans.

Insights

With core inflation dropping, is the ECB risking a severe recession by using rate hikes to fight a Middle East oil crisis?
How can European businesses survive surging borrowing costs when the real culprit behind inflation is a blocked strait thousands of miles away?