Updated
Updated · CBC Sports · Sep 2
Bank of Canada Holds Rate at 2.25% as Macklem Warns 3% Inflation Could Rise
Updated
Updated · CBC Sports · Sep 2

Bank of Canada Holds Rate at 2.25% as Macklem Warns 3% Inflation Could Rise

3 articles · Updated · CBC Sports · Sep 2

Summary

  • Seven straight holds left the Bank of Canada’s policy rate at 2.25%, while Governor Tiff Macklem said inflation risks are increasing after July inflation hit 3%.
  • About 13% higher U.S. oil prices since July are the bigger threat, Macklem said, as the re-escalated Middle East conflict pushes up gasoline costs and could spread into other prices.
  • New tariffs are a secondary inflation risk: Washington imposed 50% duties on about $28 billion of Canadian goods, and Canada began matching them Tuesday on $27.6 billion of U.S. products.
  • The bank still sees a broadening economic recovery, but trade uncertainty and energy shocks are clouding the outlook ahead of its next forecast and rate decision on Oct. 28.
  • Economists split on what comes next, with Scotiabank seeing room for 75 basis points of hikes from late 2026 while CIBC expects no rate move this year.

Insights

Could the escalating multi-billion dollar tariff standoff secretly force the Bank of Canada into a surprise rate hike this October?
If core inflation is actually contained, is the central bank's fear of $100 oil masking deeper vulnerabilities in Canada's economy?
With the Bank of Canada holding rates, why are fixed mortgage costs still mysteriously climbing for everyday homeowners?