Updated
Updated · NBC Sports · Sep 6
Kalshi Reverses $18.6 Million Game Payouts After Miscalling Western Michigan-Michigan Winner
Updated
Updated · NBC Sports · Sep 6

Kalshi Reverses $18.6 Million Game Payouts After Miscalling Western Michigan-Michigan Winner

1 articles · Updated · NBC Sports · Sep 6

Summary

  • $18.6 million in Kalshi trading volume was caught up after the platform prematurely settled the Western Michigan-Michigan market as a Western Michigan win.
  • Kalshi later flipped the result, clawing back payouts from apparent winners, reimbursing losing traders and then issuing the correct settlement once the game outcome was clear.
  • The reversal followed a chaotic finish to the game that exposed how quickly sports prediction markets can misfire when they settle before an event is definitively over.
  • The episode puts pressure on Kalshi and rival platforms such as Polymarket to tighten settlement timing in volatile live-event markets.

Insights

Why did Kalshi reverse a massive payout for college football, yet refuse to correct similar settlement errors in past UFC markets?
After clawing back millions from a premature football settlement, can Kalshi survive growing trader distrust and mounting regulatory lawsuits?