Updated

Updated · Fox News · Sep 15

Pirates Draw +188 Underdog Bet Against Brewers as Analyst Fades 1 of 3 Heavy Favorites

Updated

Updated · Fox News · Sep 15

Pirates Draw +188 Underdog Bet Against Brewers as Analyst Fades 1 of 3 Heavy Favorites

Q: With Brewers ace Jacob Misiorowski scratched due to arm fatigue, who steps up to face the Pirates in this matchup?

Robert Gasser steps in for Milwaukee. With Jacob Misiorowski scratched because of arm fatigue, the Brewers turned to Gasser, a left-hander who was reported as 2-3 with a 4.15 ERA at the time of the change. The update came after manager Pat Murphy said Misiorowski did not recover well from his previous outing and that his throwing program had looked “clunky,” prompting the club to give him extra rest. That change significantly altered the pitching matchup that had originally been framed around Misiorowski versus Pittsburgh’s starter. It also strengthened the case for the Pirates as a live underdog, since Milwaukee was losing one of the most dominant starters in baseball from the spot.

Q: Could Rhett Lowder's recent late-season struggles provide the perfect opportunity for the playoff-bound Dodgers to dominate at home?

Yes. Lowder’s recent form lines up as a favorable spot for Los Angeles to control the game. The numbers are stark. Lowder enters with a 5.81 ERA and 1.53 WHIP on the season, and his late-season trend is worse: 25 runs allowed over his last five outings, with a 6.69 ERA in his last seven games. In his most recent start against the Dodgers, he lasted only 3 1/3 innings and gave up seven runs on seven hits. Reports around the Reds describe him as looking fatigued, and his underlying issue has been limited swing-and-miss ability, which leaves him vulnerable when his command slips. That is a dangerous profile against a Dodgers lineup still playing with urgency despite already clinching a postseason berth. Los Angeles is 91-59, remains focused on securing the division and a first-round bye, and is facing Lowder with Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the other side. Yamamoto’s 2.62 ERA and 0.88 WHIP give the Dodgers a major edge in the starting matchup, and he just struck out 10 Reds over seven innings in his latest outing. There is some nuance: Lowder has shown brief stretches of better work this season, including a four-start run in which he looked more stable. But the broader and more recent evidence points the other way. Taken together, Lowder’s downturn, the Dodgers’ lineup quality, and the Yamamoto matchup make this a strong opportunity for Los Angeles to dominate, especially if it gets to Lowder early at home.

3 articles · Updated · Fox News · Sep 15

Pittsburgh was picked as the best upset play on Tuesday’s MLB slate, with the analyst backing the Pirates to beat Milwaukee outright at +188.
Jacob Misiorowski’s lone start against Pittsburgh produced three earned runs on six hits, and the Brewers ace has posted a higher ERA on the road.
Lake Bachar gives the Pirates a plausible counter, carrying a 3.52 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP and a 2.02 ERA across four home starts.
Three games featured favorites of -225 or longer, but the analyst passed on Tampa Bay at -239 over the Athletics and the Dodgers at -246 over the Reds.
The pick leans on matchup-specific value rather than team quality, with Milwaukee still described as baseball’s best club and Pittsburgh sitting at .500.