Updated
Updated · CNBC · Sep 15
U.S. Futures Rise 0.3% as Markets Price 92% Odds of Fed Rate Hike
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Sep 15

U.S. Futures Rise 0.3% as Markets Price 92% Odds of Fed Rate Hike

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Sep 15

Summary

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures rose 0.22% and 0.3%, with Dow futures up 113 points ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision.
  • CME FedWatch showed a 92% chance of a quarter-point hike, with traders also pricing 45% odds for another move in October and 30% in December.
  • The decision comes with rates already at 3.5%-3.75% and after White House adviser Christopher Phelan said a hike would be a “mistake” as inflation cools.
  • August CPI slowed to 3.4% from 4.2% in May, but core inflation rose 0.3% and oil jumped—WTI settled at $105.83 after reported Saudi shipment cancellations.
  • That mix of sticky price pressure and geopolitical risk has pushed the 10-year Treasury yield above 5% and followed Tuesday declines of 0.45% for the S&P 500 and 0.78% for the Nasdaq.

Insights

As 10-year Treasury yields breach 5%, are sticky inflation and surging borrowing costs quietly setting the stage for a massive market correction?
With oil topping $105 after a Saudi pipeline attack, will this sudden energy shock force the Fed into a devastating tightening cycle?
Could the historic plunge in semiconductor stocks signal the end of the AI boom as skyrocketing interest rates crush tech valuations?