Updated
Updated · POLITICO · Sep 28
U.S. Business Activity Hits 5-Year High as AI Boom Drives 4% GDP Pace
Updated
Updated · POLITICO · Sep 28

U.S. Business Activity Hits 5-Year High as AI Boom Drives 4% GDP Pace

3 articles · Updated · POLITICO · Sep 28

Summary

  • S&P Global’s latest survey showed U.S. business activity accelerated at its fastest pace in more than five years, with stronger employment and manufacturing output pointing to roughly 4% GDP growth over the past three months.
  • AI investment and still-resilient consumer spending are driving that strength even as oil tops $100 a barrel, gasoline stays above $4 a gallon and mortgage rates exceed 7%.
  • Unemployment has fallen back to 4.1%, and new jobless claims were near 57-year lows last week, reinforcing the picture of an economy that keeps expanding despite voter gloom over affordability.
  • That resilience could bring another Fed rate hike before year-end, while a looming global diesel shortage, war-related energy shocks and any pullback in AI returns threaten to raise costs and slow momentum.

Insights

Could the massive AI investment boom be masking hidden financial risks that threaten the broader economy?
Will an overlooked global diesel shortage quietly trigger a new wave of inflation and higher interest rates?
Why do everyday Americans feel financially squeezed despite official reports of robust economic growth?