Updated
Updated · PBS NewsHour · Sep 29
30-Year Mortgage Rate Tops 7% for First Time in 20 Months as 10-Year Yield Hits 5.2%
Updated
Updated · PBS NewsHour · Sep 29

30-Year Mortgage Rate Tops 7% for First Time in 20 Months as 10-Year Yield Hits 5.2%

3 articles · Updated · PBS NewsHour · Sep 29

Summary

  • Freddie Mac’s average 30-year mortgage rate rose to 7.03%, with Bankrate putting daily quotes at 7.2%—the first move above 7% in 20 months.
  • A $250,000 mortgage now costs about $1,800 more per year than at 6.3% a year ago, pricing out some buyers and prompting builders such as Lennar and D.R. Horton to expect weaker demand.
  • Treasury yields are driving the jump: the 10-year note hit 5.2%, its highest since January 2002, as markets absorb heavy federal borrowing, persistent inflation fears and expectations of further Fed tightening.
  • Analysts also point to long-dated borrowing by AI-linked hyperscalers, higher oil prices tied to the Iran war and concern over U.S. fiscal credibility, all of which could keep borrowing costs elevated across the economy.

Insights

Why are mortgage rates hitting their highest since November 2023 even as oil falls and weak data piles up?
If Treasury yields pause, could MBS pressure and quarter-end trading still push mortgage rates even higher?