Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Oct 1
Becerra Opens 25-Point California Governor Lead as Unaffiliated Voters Break 56%-30%
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Oct 1

Becerra Opens 25-Point California Governor Lead as Unaffiliated Voters Break 56%-30%

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Oct 1

Summary

  • A UC Berkeley-Los Angeles Times poll of 4,512 likely voters put Democrat Xavier Becerra ahead of Republican Steve Hilton by 25 points, his widest margin of the race and up 7 points from Berkeley’s early-August survey.
  • The gain came after both candidates largely locked down their party bases—each drawing at least 90% support from co-partisans—while Becerra built a much larger edge among unaffiliated voters, 56% to 30%.
  • Across polling since the June primary, Becerra has led Hilton by more than 15 points every time, even though he finished only 3 points ahead in the primary.
  • The latest survey still found about 10% of voters undecided, but Becerra led across age, racial and education groups and posted a 48% favorable rating versus Hilton’s 35%.

Insights

Can a 25-point polling lead hold if affordability remains California voters’ top concern?