NHC Flags Invest 92L With 80% Development Odds as Gulf Coast Faces Weekend Flood Risk
Updated
Updated · Fox Weather · Oct 4
NHC Flags Invest 92L With 80% Development Odds as Gulf Coast Faces Weekend Flood Risk
3 articles · Updated · Fox Weather · Oct 4
Summary
Invest 92L was designated in the southern Gulf, and the National Hurricane Center now puts its development chance at 60% in 48 hours and 80% within seven days.
A storm could begin forming Thursday or Friday near the Bay of Campeche as a cold front stretches across the Gulf, with record-warm Gulf waters adding support for development.
Heavy rain and possible flash flooding could hit parts of the Florida and Louisiana coasts this weekend even if the system never becomes tropical; damaging wind gusts are also possible.
Forecast models still disagree on whether a system will fully form, where its center would consolidate and whether it would track north or stay closer to Mexico.
The setup comes during the Atlantic's quietest start since the satellite era began in 1966, with more than 330 days since the last hurricane and no September hurricane for the first time in 32 years.