Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Oct 18
SportsLine Model Backs Over 53.5 in Cowboys-Packers After 10,000 Simulations
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Oct 18

SportsLine Model Backs Over 53.5 in Cowboys-Packers After 10,000 Simulations

3 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · Oct 18

Summary

  • SportsLine’s model projects 54 combined points for Sunday night’s Cowboys-Packers game, putting the Over 53.5 at a 52% hit rate after 10,000 simulations.
  • That total has climbed 3 points from the opener to become Week 6’s highest, with the Over cashing in seven of the last 10 meetings and in nine of Dallas’ last 10 games.
  • Dallas enters at 2-3 after a 24-16 loss to Tampa Bay, carrying a defense ranked 31st in yards allowed at 395.4 per game and 25th in scoring defense at 27.2 points allowed.
  • Green Bay, 3-2 after a 31-7 win over Chicago, has Jordan Love at 1,408 passing yards and 10 touchdowns, while Dak Prescott has 1,381 yards and nine scores for Dallas.
  • The Packers hold a 10-1-1 outright record over the last 12 meetings, but Dallas is a 1.5-point road favorite at Lambeau Field, where the model also sees one side covering in 60% of simulations.

Insights

Can Dak Prescott exploit Green Bay's blitz-heavy defense to overcome the Cowboys' recent Lambeau curse in this Sunday night shootout?
With Dallas bleeding points defensively, will Jordan Love's new command of the offense turn this primetime matchup into a historic Packers blowout?