Democrats Lead in 7 Key Senate States as Trump Approval Sinks to Mid-30s
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Nov 2
Democrats Lead in 7 Key Senate States as Trump Approval Sinks to Mid-30s
3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Nov 2
Summary
Final New York Times/Siena polls put Democrats ahead in all seven states most likely to decide Senate control — Michigan, Kansas, Texas, Maine, Ohio, plus narrower leads in Alaska and Iowa.
Those late gains leave Democrats leading even in traditionally safe Republican territory, with the broader polling average showing the party ahead in more solidly GOP seats than it flipped in 2006 and 2008 combined.
Pollsters still face a familiar Trump-era risk: his supporters are less likely to answer surveys, raising the chance that Democratic strength is being overstated again.
Even so, the margins are large enough that Democrats could still win the Senate if polls miss Republicans by as much as they did in 2016 or 2020.
Trump's approval has fallen into the mid-30s after the U.S. attack on Iran and amid high prices at home, leaving him the most unpopular president before a midterm since Harry Truman in 1946.