Updated
Updated · ICT News · Nov 12
Mary Peltola Leads Dan Sullivan by 4,250 Votes as Alaska Senate Count Nears Nov. 18 Tabulation
Updated
Updated · ICT News · Nov 12

Mary Peltola Leads Dan Sullivan by 4,250 Votes as Alaska Senate Count Nears Nov. 18 Tabulation

3 articles · Updated · ICT News · Nov 12

Summary

  • Newly counted Alaska ballots put Democrat Mary Peltola ahead of Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan by about 4,250 votes, with roughly 84% of the vote counted Wednesday morning.
  • About 1 percentage point short of an outright majority, Peltola is headed for Alaska’s ranked-choice tabulation on Nov. 18 unless late ballots change the margin; certification is targeted for Nov. 25.
  • Nov. 18 is also the deadline for absentee ballots mailed from outside the U.S., leaving tens of thousands of votes still uncounted as Sullivan says the race remains far from settled.
  • Ranked-choice dynamics may favor Peltola: a New York Times analysis found many voters for Daniel J. Sullivan listed her as a backup choice rather than the incumbent senator.
  • The count is already drawing legal fights, with Trump’s Justice Department appealing a failed bid to block certification and Peltola separately suing for details on rejected absentee ballots.

Insights

How might Alaska's unique ranked-choice redistribution and late-arriving absentee ballots ultimately decide this tightly contested Senate race?
Could the presence of a similarly named candidate on the ballot inadvertently sway the final outcome through secondary ranked-choice preferences?