NHC Cuts Invest 92L Development Odds to 20% as Invest 94L Holds 50% 7-Day Risk
Updated
Updated · Gulf Coast News · Aug 14
NHC Cuts Invest 92L Development Odds to 20% as Invest 94L Holds 50% 7-Day Risk
3 articles · Updated · Gulf Coast News · Aug 14
Summary
Invest 92L was downgraded to a 20% development chance in the latest National Hurricane Center update after the disturbance became less organized about 400 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
High wind shear is expected to make conditions even more hostile as 92L approaches the Lesser Antilles, limiting significant development but still bringing periods of heavy rain and gusty winds.
Invest 94L is also moving west across the tropical Atlantic and faces dry air and increasing wind shear near the Caribbean, yet its odds remain higher at 30% over two days and 50% over seven.
Both systems are still only "invests"—areas under tropical investigation that trigger added forecast modeling and data collection, not a guarantee a tropical cyclone will form.