Updated
Updated · Financial Times · Sep 19
Six Nobel Economists Back California 5% Billionaire Tax as Poll Shows 52% Support
Updated
Updated · Financial Times · Sep 19

Six Nobel Economists Back California 5% Billionaire Tax as Poll Shows 52% Support

3 articles · Updated · Financial Times · Sep 19

Summary

  • Six Nobel laureates including Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman endorsed California’s proposed one-time 5% tax on billionaires in an open letter ahead of the November 3 vote.
  • The economists said the measure could raise $100 billion to offset federal spending cuts and argued a win in California could spur wealth taxes in other states, federally and abroad.
  • Their intervention answers a well-funded opposition campaign led by Sergey Brin and other Silicon Valley donors, who have spent more than $100 million warning the tax would drive out wealthy residents and cost the state $25 billion.
  • The fight has split California Democrats: the state party backs the measure, while Governor Gavin Newsom says a state-level wealth tax would push entrepreneurs elsewhere and should be pursued nationally.
  • Recent polling suggests a tight race, with 52% of voters in favor and 46% opposed, setting up one of California’s costliest ballot-measure battles.

Insights

Could California's unprecedented one-time billionaire tax trigger a massive wealth exodus, or will it become a blueprint for global economic reform?
If Proposition 40 passes, could the hidden administrative complexities of taxing extreme wealth actually end up costing the state more than it gains?
How will California accurately value hidden illiquid assets like private tech holdings and artwork without sparking years of costly legal battles?