Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Oct 25
Latino Voters Back Democrats by 30 Points, Reversing Trump’s 2024 Gains
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Oct 25

Latino Voters Back Democrats by 30 Points, Reversing Trump’s 2024 Gains

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Oct 25

Summary

  • A new New York Times/Siena poll found Latino voters favor Democrats over Republicans by 30 percentage points, marking a sharp shift in a bloc that helped power Donald Trump’s 2024 return.
  • The rebound suggests Trump’s Latino inroads may have been narrower and less durable than expected, even though Democrats still have not fully regained the stronger Hispanic support they enjoyed a decade ago.
  • Hispanic voters now make up at least 20% of registered voters in nearly two dozen competitive House races across Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Pennsylvania and Texas.
  • That reach could also shape Senate contests in Texas, Iowa and Kansas, giving Democrats a potential path to congressional gains if the shift holds through 2026.
  • The Oct. 12-19 survey interviewed 3,494 voters by phone and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 1.9 percentage points.

Insights

How will the unprecedented surge of young, US-born Hispanic voters reshape the future of American economic policy?