Democrats Failed to Flip 28 Late Red to Blue GOP Seats Since 2018
Updated
Updated · POLITICO · Oct 26
Democrats Failed to Flip 28 Late Red to Blue GOP Seats Since 2018
2 articles · Updated · POLITICO · Oct 26
Summary
A POLITICO analysis found Democrats have not flipped a single Republican-held House seat added to the DCCC’s Red to Blue list in September or October since 2018.
Of 28 candidates added in the final two months across the 2018-2024 cycles, only three won — all in Democratic-held open seats rather than GOP districts.
That late-cycle record trails the broader program sharply: 73 of 203 Red to Blue candidates flipped their seats over the same four cycles.
The gap reflects how the DCCC uses late additions for longer-shot districts after funding stronger opportunities first, while also signaling momentum and map expansion to donors and media.