Scott Colom Blasts Cook Rating in Mississippi Senate Race as He Leads by 2,600 Votes
Updated
Updated · The Washington Post · Nov 9
Scott Colom Blasts Cook Rating in Mississippi Senate Race as He Leads by 2,600 Votes
3 articles · Updated · The Washington Post · Nov 9
Summary
Scott Colom said Cook Political Report hurt his Mississippi Senate bid by rating the race “Likely R” before Election Day even as he now leads incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith by nearly 2,600 votes.
In a social media post, the Democrat argued those forecasts depressed fundraising and reinforced neglect of Southern races, saying prognosticators had treated his campaign as effectively out of reach for much of the cycle.
Cook has long been one of Washington’s most trusted forecasters, with a 2024 internal review saying 97% of its “Likely” ratings and 94% of its “Lean” ratings were correct.
This cycle, though, Cook and other forecasters understated Democratic gains, missing more than a dozen House races it had rated “Lean R” or “Likely R” and a South Carolina Senate race won by Democrat Annie Andrews.
Amy Walter, Cook’s publisher, said the group had warned Republicans could collapse late and would conduct a full post-mortem as remaining races are decided.