Analyst Backs Houston -9.5, North Texas-UTSA Under 76.5 in Week 11
Updated
Updated · Yahoo Sports · Nov 14
Analyst Backs Houston -9.5, North Texas-UTSA Under 76.5 in Week 11
3 articles · Updated · Yahoo Sports · Nov 14
Summary
Two Week 11 bets stand out: Houston -9.5 at Colorado on Friday and under 76.5 in North Texas at UTSA on Saturday.
Houston’s edge comes from offensive balance—Conner Weigman’s mobility, two running-back threats and WR Amare Thomas—against a Colorado team that managed only 64 rushing yards and struggled to sustain drives.
Colorado’s defense has been more respectable than its record, rated No. 43 versus Houston’s No. 54, but the analyst doubts the Buffaloes can answer often enough if the Cougars reach the 30s.
The under play leans on context behind recent shootouts: North Texas scored 42 second-half points after short fields against Rice, while UTSA’s 60-29 loss included FAU touchdown drives starting at the 6 and 4.
Even with weak defenses—North Texas ranked No. 127 and UTSA No. 94—a few sacks, stalled drives or field goals could keep the total below 76.5; even 41-35 stays under.